If Biden Loses, What’s Really to Blame?

I’m sure there will be a laundry list of factors his team will point the fingers at.

Lauren Elizabeth
4 min readJul 11, 2020

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Photographer Katie Flock/Bloomberg

There’s no denying that in recent weeks, it has felt as though — and polling has indicated — presumptive democratic nominee and former Vice President Joe Biden has had the upcoming general election against Donald Trump locked in. While most signs may be pointing to the idea that the current occupant of the White House could be voted out of office in just a matter of months, I’ve been trying to remain cognizant of the fact that there is still plenty of time for Biden to ruin it. Under what we might perceive to be normal circumstances, there’s no doubt in my mind that Joe Biden would not have even the slightest chance of winning, and it’s important to be mindful of the fact that if 2020 has shown us anything, it’s how rapidly things can change.

Recently we’ve been reminded of the rapid pace of change with results of new polls, which have shown that what might have felt like an insurmountable lead for Joe Biden might be diminishing.

Matthew Impelli with Newsweek writes:

“Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden’s lead over President Donald Trump has diminished by 6 percentage points, according to a new national poll.

The poll, which was conducted by The Hill/HarrisX, surveyed 933 registered voters from July 3 to July 4. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.

According to the poll, 43 percent of respondents said they would vote for Biden if the presidential election were held today, while 39 percent sided with Trump. Among the remaining percent of voters, 5 percent said they would vote for someone else, 5 percent said they wouldn’t vote, and 8 percent said they were not sure.”

It doesn’t end there.

In news that’s certainly not concrete, but unnerving nonetheless, Louise Hall with The Independent reports that:

“President Donald Trump has a 91 per cent chance of winning the November 2020 election, according to a political science professor who has correctly predicted five out of six elections since 1996.

“The Primary Model gives Trump a 91 percent chance of winning…

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Lauren Elizabeth
Dialogue & Discourse

Lauren is a writer & leftist with analysis on topics related to politics & policy. She can be reached at LaurenMartinchek@gmail.com or Twitter @xlauren_mx