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According to 538, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris Are Tied.

This election is going to be a lot closer than I originally thought.

Lauren Elizabeth
3 min readAug 2, 2024
Photo by Clay Banks on Unsplash

Well, the election is rapidly approaching. Just a few months away and a lot has changed over the course of the past few weeks, with Biden stepping down from his campaign and endorsing his Vice President Kamala Harris to run against former President Donald Trump.

As the dust has begun to settle on all of that chaos, we’ve begun to get a bit of a better picture on how the election is beginning to take shape as people have adjusted to Kamala Harris being the presumptive Democratic nominee. How are the polls looking? How are people responding to her campaign? Does she have a shot?

According to 538, they are tied.

G. Elliot Morris with ABC News writes:

“Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our average of national polls says Harris has the support of 45.0 percent of voters, while Trump garners 43.5 percent.

That 1.5-percentage-point lead is within our average’s uncertainty interval, which you can think of as a sort of margin of error for our polling averages…

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Lauren Elizabeth
Lauren Elizabeth

Written by Lauren Elizabeth

Lauren is a writer & leftist with analysis on topics related to politics & policy. She can be reached at LaurenMartinchek@gmail.com or Twitter @xlauren_mx

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